Hardware: With the advances in nanotech, the world's fastest supercomputer will achieve 10^16 calculations by the end of this decade. This matches the processing power of the human brain. By the end of the next decade, computers with 10^16 cps will cost less than $1000.
Software: Real-time scans for each interneuronal connection made possible. We have already mapped out more than 1/2 of the human brain, including the cerebrum, neocortex, etc. There have been ample tests that show that silicon can effectively replace neurons to make it function properly. If we cannot find a software to model this by the 2020s, we will be able to "brute force" our way to AI by mapping every single portion of the brain onto a computer. At the latest, this will be around 2030.
What say everyone?
This post has been edited by Nihilated: 05 May 2008 - 09:28 PM